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West Asia Conflict and Geopolitical Crisis

 

1. In 2025, West Asia experienced major instability due to the Gaza War, the Iran–Israel conflict, and the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria.

2. The Gaza War created a severe humanitarian crisis, with more than 66,000 deaths, around two-thirds of whom were civilians.

3. A fragile ceasefire in Gaza was brokered by the United States and included hostage releases as part of a broader peace framework.

4. The proposed second phase of the Gaza peace plan involved Hamas disarmament, technocratic governance, and deployment of an International Stabilisation Force.

5. The fall of the Assad regime in Syria led to the rise of Ahmed al-Sharaa, previously designated by the United States as linked to Al-Qaeda.

6. The United States and Türkiye became deeply involved in post-war Syria after the weakening of Russian and Iranian influence.

7. Hezbollah’s military capabilities in Lebanon were significantly degraded after Israeli offensives following the October 7 attack.

8. Despite military weakening, Hezbollah remained politically and socially influential in Southern Lebanon during 2025.

9. The Iran–Israel war exposed major weaknesses in Iran’s military and damaged nuclear and security infrastructure.

10. France, Germany, and the United Kingdom reimposed snapback sanctions on Iran during 2025, worsening its economic crisis.

11. Yemen remained unstable in 2025, with continued conflict in Houthi-controlled regions and the absence of a viable political settlement.

12. Around 60 percent of India’s energy requirements continued to come from the West Asian region in 2025.

13. More than eight million people of Indian origin were living in West Asia, mainly in Gulf countries, making regional stability important for remittance flows.

14. The Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Mutual Defence Agreement signed in 2025 stated that an attack on one country would be treated as an attack on both.

15. Regional instability and Houthi threats continued to delay the operationalisation of India-linked connectivity projects such as IMEC, INSTC, and Chabahar trade routes.

Must Know Terms :

1. GazaCeasefire

GazaCeasefire refers to the fragile ceasefire brokered by the United States in 2025 after prolonged fighting in Gaza. It brought temporary relief after a severe humanitarian crisis involving more than 66,000 deaths. The ceasefire included hostage releases, but its durability remained uncertain because the second phase required Hamas disarmament, technocratic governance, reconstruction, and International Stabilisation Force deployment.

2.AhmedAlSharaa

AhmedAlSharaa emerged as Syria’s new leading figure after the collapse of the Assad regime in 2025. He had previously been designated by the United States as linked to Al-Qaeda, making his rise unexpected. His leadership opened space for deeper US and Türkiye involvement in post-war Syria, while Russian and Iranian influence declined significantly in the country’s changing strategic environment.

3.InternationalStabilisationForce

InternationalStabilisationForce refers to the proposed force under the Gaza peace framework. It was expected to support post-war stabilisation after the ceasefire, but its mandate, operational capacity, legitimacy, and composition remained unclear. The force became central to the difficult second phase of the peace plan, alongside Hamas disarmament, technocratic governance, Gaza reconstruction, and unresolved questions of Palestinian statehood.

4.SaudiPakistanDefencePact

SaudiPakistanDefencePact refers to the 2025 Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Mutual Defence Agreement, under which an attack on one country would be treated as an attack on both. The pact reflected Gulf insecurity after Israel’s attack on Qatar and raised strategic concerns for India, as Pakistan could use stronger Saudi ties to influence Gulf positions on Kashmir and regional security.

5.IndiaMiddleEastEconomicCorridor

IndiaMiddleEastEconomicCorridor, also known as IMEC, is a strategic connectivity project linking India with West Asia and Europe. In 2025, regional instability, the Gaza War, Israel-Iran tensions, and Houthi threats delayed its operationalisation. For India, IMEC remains important for trade, logistics, energy security, and Viksit Bharat 2047 goals, but it depends on secure routes and stable West Asian partnerships.

6.SnapbackSanctions

SnapbackSanctions refer to the reimposition of sanctions on Iran by the E3 countries, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, in 2025. These sanctions worsened Iran’s economic crisis after the Iran-Israel war damaged its nuclear and security infrastructure. Combined with drought, water shortages, international isolation, and military setbacks, snapback sanctions increased domestic pressure on Iran’s regime and weakened its regional posture.

MCQ :

1. In 2025, instability in West Asia was mainly driven by:

A. Arctic competition and NATO expansion
B. The Gaza War, Iran–Israel conflict, and collapse of the Assad regime
C. Currency union disputes
D. Water-sharing agreements

2. The Gaza War in 2025 resulted in approximately how many deaths?

A. 26,000
B. 46,000
C. 66,000
D. 86,000

3. Around what proportion of Gaza War casualties were civilians?

A. One-fourth
B. One-third
C. Half
D. Two-thirds

4. The Gaza ceasefire in 2025 was primarily brokered by:

A. Russia
B. China
C. United States
D. Türkiye

5. The second phase of the Gaza peace framework proposed:

A. NATO deployment in Gaza
B. Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance
C. Permanent Israeli annexation
D. Gulf military occupation

6. After the collapse of the Assad regime, which figure emerged prominently in Syria?

A. Bashar al-Assad
B. Ahmed al-Sharaa
C. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi
D. Hassan Nasrallah

7. Ahmed al-Sharaa had previously been designated by the United States as linked to:

A. ISIS
B. Taliban
C. Hamas
D. Al-Qaeda

8. In post-war Syria during 2025, the influence of which two countries weakened significantly?

A. India and China
B. France and Germany
C. Russia and Iran
D. Qatar and Egypt

9. Hezbollah’s military capabilities were significantly weakened after:

A. Gulf intervention
B. Israeli offensives following the October 7 attack
C. Syrian sanctions
D. UN peacekeeping action

10. Snapback sanctions on Iran in 2025 were reimposed by:

A. US, Canada, and Japan
B. France, Germany, and the United Kingdom
C. China, Russia, and Türkiye
D. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar

11. Yemen in 2025 remained unstable mainly because of:

A. Arctic conflict
B. Currency collapse only
C. Continued conflict and lack of political settlement
D. EU military intervention

12. Approximately what percentage of India’s energy requirements came from West Asia in 2025?

A. 30 percent
B. 40 percent
C. 50 percent
D. 60 percent

13. More than how many people of Indian origin were living in West Asia in 2025?

A. 4 million
B. 6 million
C. 8 million
D. 10 million

14. The 2025 Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Mutual Defence Agreement declared that:

A. Both countries would join NATO
B. Oil trade would be dollar-free
C. An attack on one would be treated as an attack on both
D. Pakistan would permanently station troops in Saudi Arabia

15. Which connectivity projects faced delays in 2025 due to regional instability and Houthi threats?

A. Sagarmala and Bharatmala
B. IMEC, INSTC, and Chabahar
C. TAPI and IORA Corridor
D. BIMSTEC Grid and Mekong Corridor

Pankaj Sir

EX-IRS (UPSC AIR 196)

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